{"id":3923,"date":"2026-08-16T19:36:27","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T19:36:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/?post_type=journal_article&#038;p=3923"},"modified":"2026-08-16T19:36:28","modified_gmt":"2026-08-16T19:36:28","slug":"impact-of-foreign-direct-investment-on-sustainable-growth-in-the-nigerian-agricultural-sector-1984-2023","status":"publish","type":"journal_article","link":"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/journal_article\/impact-of-foreign-direct-investment-on-sustainable-growth-in-the-nigerian-agricultural-sector-1984-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Sustainable Growth in the Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1984\u20132023)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ogbuehi Ifeoma Lucinda<sup> 1 <\/sup>&amp; Prof. G.D Isiwu<sup> 2<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Abstract<\/strong>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><em>This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on sustainable growth in Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector, employing annual time-series data spanning 1984 to 2023. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is applied to examine short-run and long-run dynamics between agricultural productivity and four key variables: FDI inflows to agriculture, agricultural employment, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions from agriculture. The ARDL bounds test reveals no evidence of a long-run cointegrating relationship, indicating that FDI has not exerted a statistically significant influence on agricultural productivity over the long term. In the short run, agricultural employment exhibits a significant but negative effect on agricultural output, while FDI inflows, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions are statistically insignificant. Drawing on the absorptive capacity framework of Borensztein, De Gregorio, and Lee (1998), the study argues that Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector lacks the human capital, institutional quality, and technological readiness required to convert FDI inflows into measurable productivity gains. The findings have direct policy relevance: sustainable agricultural growth in Nigeria requires structural reforms that build absorptive capacity rather than simply attracting more foreign capital. Huber White heteroscedasticity-consistent standard errors are employed throughout to ensure robust inference.<\/em><em><\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Keywords: <\/em><\/strong><em>Foreign Direct Investment, Agricultural Productivity, Sustainable Growth, Absorptive Capacity, CO\u2082 Emissions, Agricultural Employment<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Cite:<\/em><\/strong> Ogbuehi I. L. <sup>\u00a0<\/sup>&amp; Isiwu G. D. (2026). Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Sustainable Growth in the Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1984\u20132023).<em> International Journal of Management Foresight and Strategy,4<\/em>(6), 419-433. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.21969623\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.21969623<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-wp-interactive=\"core\/file\" class=\"wp-block-file\"><object data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!state.hasPdfPreview\" hidden class=\"wp-block-file__embed\" data=\"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/08\/IJMFS_46419-433.pdf\" type=\"application\/pdf\" style=\"width:100%;height:600px\" aria-label=\"Embed of IJMFS_46,419-433.\"><\/object><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-152eadc2-004b-4ed5-a655-4e0e60ba83a5\" href=\"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/08\/IJMFS_46419-433.pdf\">IJMFS_46,419-433<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/08\/IJMFS_46419-433.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-152eadc2-004b-4ed5-a655-4e0e60ba83a5\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"template":"","journal_article_cats":[238],"class_list":["post-3923","journal_article","type-journal_article","status-publish","hentry","journal_article_cat-vol-4-no-6"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.1 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Sustainable Growth in the Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1984\u20132023) - International Journal of Management Foresight and Strategy (IJMFS)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on sustainable growth in Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector, employing annual time-series data spanning 1984 to 2023. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is applied to examine short-run and long-run dynamics between agricultural productivity and four key variables: FDI inflows to agriculture, agricultural employment, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions from agriculture. The ARDL bounds test reveals no evidence of a long-run cointegrating relationship, indicating that FDI has not exerted a statistically significant influence on agricultural productivity over the long term. In the short run, agricultural employment exhibits a significant but negative effect on agricultural output, while FDI inflows, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions are statistically insignificant. Drawing on the absorptive capacity framework of Borensztein, De Gregorio, and Lee (1998), the study argues that Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector lacks the human capital, institutional quality, and technological readiness required to convert FDI inflows into measurable productivity gains. The findings have direct policy relevance: sustainable agricultural growth in Nigeria requires structural reforms that build absorptive capacity rather than simply attracting more foreign capital. Huber White heteroscedasticity-consistent standard errors are employed throughout to ensure robust inference.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/journal_article\/impact-of-foreign-direct-investment-on-sustainable-growth-in-the-nigerian-agricultural-sector-1984-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Sustainable Growth in the Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1984\u20132023)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on sustainable growth in Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector, employing annual time-series data spanning 1984 to 2023. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is applied to examine short-run and long-run dynamics between agricultural productivity and four key variables: FDI inflows to agriculture, agricultural employment, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions from agriculture. The ARDL bounds test reveals no evidence of a long-run cointegrating relationship, indicating that FDI has not exerted a statistically significant influence on agricultural productivity over the long term. In the short run, agricultural employment exhibits a significant but negative effect on agricultural output, while FDI inflows, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions are statistically insignificant. Drawing on the absorptive capacity framework of Borensztein, De Gregorio, and Lee (1998), the study argues that Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector lacks the human capital, institutional quality, and technological readiness required to convert FDI inflows into measurable productivity gains. The findings have direct policy relevance: sustainable agricultural growth in Nigeria requires structural reforms that build absorptive capacity rather than simply attracting more foreign capital. Huber White heteroscedasticity-consistent standard errors are employed throughout to ensure robust inference.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/journal_article\/impact-of-foreign-direct-investment-on-sustainable-growth-in-the-nigerian-agricultural-sector-1984-2023\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"International Journal of Management Foresight and Strategy (IJMFS)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-16T19:36:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/birpub.org\/ijmfs\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/IJMFS-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1810\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/birpub.org\\\/ijmfs\\\/journal_article\\\/impact-of-foreign-direct-investment-on-sustainable-growth-in-the-nigerian-agricultural-sector-1984-2023\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/birpub.org\\\/ijmfs\\\/journal_article\\\/impact-of-foreign-direct-investment-on-sustainable-growth-in-the-nigerian-agricultural-sector-1984-2023\\\/\",\"name\":\"Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Sustainable Growth in the Nigerian Agricultural Sector (1984\u20132023) - International Journal of Management Foresight and Strategy (IJMFS)\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/birpub.org\\\/ijmfs\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-08-16T19:36:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-08-16T19:36:28+00:00\",\"description\":\"This study investigates the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on sustainable growth in Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector, employing annual time-series data spanning 1984 to 2023. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is applied to examine short-run and long-run dynamics between agricultural productivity and four key variables: FDI inflows to agriculture, agricultural employment, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions from agriculture. The ARDL bounds test reveals no evidence of a long-run cointegrating relationship, indicating that FDI has not exerted a statistically significant influence on agricultural productivity over the long term. In the short run, agricultural employment exhibits a significant but negative effect on agricultural output, while FDI inflows, agricultural machinery, and CO\u2082 emissions are statistically insignificant. Drawing on the absorptive capacity framework of Borensztein, De Gregorio, and Lee (1998), the study argues that Nigeria\u2019s agricultural sector lacks the human capital, institutional quality, and technological readiness required to convert FDI inflows into measurable productivity gains. 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